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July 7, 2026

Live session

EVIDENCE HEALTH
Live trades
52
Live trading days
8
Live result
-3.00% net
Sample status
Too small to prove edge
Record basis
Internal broker records reviewed by desk
Independent audit
No
Session summary

13 closed live trade(s) were taken; the session lost money (-3.00% of the account) and the stops did their job. Logged plainly — the ledger doesn't flinch.

What happened
  • 13 live bot trade(s) closed — -3.00% of the account.
  • 13 live trade(s) executed; 8 closed positive. The session ended red. All exits followed the pre-registered rules.
  • The research fleet sailed 6475 paper strategies across 8 asset classes.
  • 5 boat(s) sank today — breached their pre-set risk lines (trend-following, unnamed families). Sunk boats stay sunk.
  • The three-fund control experiment marked to the close: setup-driven and news-driven paper funds versus a pure random baseline.
  • 7 pre-registered exams remain under test with frozen rules — none may change mid-exam.
Closed live summary
Instrument typeU.S. listed options
Strategy familyMomentum breakout
Executed byThe bot
Number of live trades13
Net return-3.00%
Risk multiple— no pre-set risk unit recorded
Rule followedYes
Internal record matchedYes
Independent auditNo
What we learned
  • Most strategies are supposed to die. Each sinking is cheap, honest evidence — paid in paper, not capital.
  • The current fleet leader is a a approach in stock, 4 session(s) at sea. Leadership this early means little — longevity is the score that counts.
  • The news fund is currently ahead of the random baseline. The bar to matter is beating luck — not beating zero.
What changed after
  • No live parameters were changed. Anything that earns promotion must first beat a random baseline, survive costs, and hold up out-of-sample.

Private ledger note. Full trade-execution detail (contracts, strikes, timestamps, prices, order IDs) remains in the private Ledger. The public journal publishes closed summaries for accountability, not signals. Every live figure above is taken from the broker-reconciled ledger, and sessions the founder traded by hand are labelled as manual rather than folded into the system's record.